Bitcoin $107K Buyers Signal Potential 2026 Bear Market Bottom

July 16, 2026 · Markets · CryptoRefuge

Bitcoin $107K Buyers Signal Potential 2026 Bear Market Bottom

TITLE: Bitcoin $107K Buyers Signal Potential 2026 Bear Market Bottom

Live market snapshot (at publish): BTC $63,938.26 (-1.4% 24h)

Buyers who purchased Bitcoin at $107,000 may be providing early signals of a 2026 bear-market bottom, according to Glassnode, a leading onchain analytics platform. This indicates a potential shift in market sentiment. The $107,000 level gauges the market's perception of value, making it crucial to watch.

The 1-2 year holders are a key group to watch, as their actions can influence the broader market. As Cryptovizart notes, one of the key metrics to watch is the Realized Loss volume (in USD) by this cohort. When the 30D-SMA of their realized loss cools and rolls over, it has often been among the clearest early signals that the heaviest distribution phase is behind the market.

$75 million in realized losses have been recorded, indicating a significant level of pain for investors who bought in at higher prices. $62,800 and $107,000 are the key levels to watch, as they represent the current price and the potential bottom, respectively.

As the market approaches the $107,000 level, it will likely draw a strong reaction, as those most inclined to sell are the ones about to be made whole, creating a potential inflection point. Bitcoin cycle peak buyers Bitcoin realized losses for 1-2 year hodlers (30-day moving average)

Cryptovizart notes, "One of the metrics I watch most closely when trying to gauge a bear market’s end is, Realized Loss volume (in USD) by the 1-2 year holders." This metric provides valuable insights into the market's behavior and potential turning points. As frustration builds with sustained price underperformance, this cohort tends to progressively increase loss realization.

Analysis: If the $107,000 level holds, it could signal a potential bottom for the 2026 bear market. A break below this level would likely lead to further selling pressure. With the current price at $62,800, a move towards the $107,000 level would be significant, and investors will be watching for any signs of a potential turnaround.